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Occasional Seminars CANCELLED: Richard Disney (IFS)

CeRP Seminar: "House Prices, Wealth Effects and Labor Supply" Sala Rossa abstract We examine the impact of housing wealth on labor supply using data on exogenous local variation in house prices merged into household panel data for Britain. Our estimates are conditioned on variations in local labor demand and income expectations as these may co-determine…

Seminars in Economics Antonio Guarino (UCL)

"Transaction Tax and the Information Efficiency of Financial Markets: A Structural Estimation" abstract We study the effect of a transaction tax on the trading activity of a security. In our model there are informed traders, who receive private information on the value of a security, and noise traders who trade for liquidity reasons. Through a…

Seminars in Economics Toan Phan (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill)

"Toxic Asset Bubble" Abstract We show that toxic (i.e., welfare reducing) asset bubbles can emerge in a standard framework of stochastic rational bubble if there is financial friction. The friction generated by limited liability and non-contingent debt contracts prevents banks from fully internalizing the bubble's risk of collapse. Hence boom-bust episodes involving excessively risky bubbles can emerge in equilibrium. We…

Monday Lunch Seminars Daniele Pennesi

"Asset prices in an ambiguous economy" abstract We price assets with ambiguous returns in a Lucas’ tree economy under general ambiguity sensitive inter-temporal utility. We provide intuitive conditions to guarantee existence and to characterize equilibria. Although we relax ambiguity aversion,portfolio inertia and excess volatility may obtain at the equilibrium, extending the results of Epstein and…

Monday Lunch Seminars Gerardo Ferrara

"Portfolio Optimization under Model Uncertainty" abstract This study proposes a novel methodology to deal with model uncertainty in forecasting stock returns. My main interest here is to overcome thetendency of Bayesian Model Averaging to give all of the weight to a single model. A potential solution of this problem is to capture thenature of the underlying data…