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Seminars in Economics Antonio Guarino (UCL)

"Transaction Tax and the Information Efficiency of Financial Markets: A Structural Estimation" abstract We study the effect of a transaction tax on the trading activity of a security. In our model there are informed traders, who receive private information on the value of a security, and noise traders who trade for liquidity reasons. Through a…

Seminars in Economics Toan Phan (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill)

"Toxic Asset Bubble" Abstract We show that toxic (i.e., welfare reducing) asset bubbles can emerge in a standard framework of stochastic rational bubble if there is financial friction. The friction generated by limited liability and non-contingent debt contracts prevents banks from fully internalizing the bubble's risk of collapse. Hence boom-bust episodes involving excessively risky bubbles can emerge in equilibrium. We…

Monday Lunch Seminars Daniele Pennesi

"Asset prices in an ambiguous economy" abstract We price assets with ambiguous returns in a Lucas’ tree economy under general ambiguity sensitive inter-temporal utility. We provide intuitive conditions to guarantee existence and to characterize equilibria. Although we relax ambiguity aversion,portfolio inertia and excess volatility may obtain at the equilibrium, extending the results of Epstein and…

Monday Lunch Seminars Gerardo Ferrara

"Portfolio Optimization under Model Uncertainty" abstract This study proposes a novel methodology to deal with model uncertainty in forecasting stock returns. My main interest here is to overcome thetendency of Bayesian Model Averaging to give all of the weight to a single model. A potential solution of this problem is to capture thenature of the underlying data…

Monday Lunch Seminars Michela Altieri

"Group Affiliation, Implicit Guarantees and the Cost of Borrowing" abstract This paper investigates the effect of group affiliation on credit spreads of firm’s public debt. We analyse all the firms issuing publicdebt on the US Primary and Secondary market from 1980 until 2006, by comparing business groups and independent firms new issuances. Theresults show that controlled firms…

Monday Lunch Seminars Roberto Marfè

"Labor Relations, Endogenous Dividends and the Equilibrium Term Structure of Equity" abstract Leading asset pricing models are inconsistent with the recent empirical findings which document downward sloping term structures of equity risk and premia. This paper shows that a simple general equilibrium model can accommodate the stylized facts about dividend strips as long as dividend distributions endogenously obtain…

Seminars in Politics and Society Herman Schwartz (University of Virginia)

"Babies, Bonds, and Buildings: Policy Implications of the Links among Pensions, Housing Finance Systems and Fertility Rates" abstract Many rich OECD countries now have fertility rates well below the replacement rate. Low fertility implies declining population and potential problems for pension systems trying to finance an ever-rising ratio of retirees to workers. Additionally, surveys show…

Monday Lunch Seminars Pietro Garibaldi

"Labor and Finance: Mortensen and Pissarides meet Holmstrom and Tirole" abstract In real life labor markets firms hold at all times a variety of liquid assets not invested in their core business. Such external use of funds acts as an insurance against future adverse financial shocks, and typically varies across firms and sectors. As a…

Monday Lunch Seminars Henriette Prast

"Seven ways to knit your portfolio: can familiarity explain the gender gap in finance?" abstract We investigate whether the gender gap in measured financial literacy, risk attitudes and portfolio choice may be affected by a gender gap in familiarity with the language and product supply in the life cycle saving and investing industry. Familiarity is…

Monday Lunch Seminars Marco Airaudo

"Optimal monetary policy with counter-cyclical credit spreads" Abstract We study the consequences for monetary policy design of including deep habits in credit markets into the benchmark New-Keynesian DSGE model. Under deep habits, monopolistically competitive banks set lending rates in a forward-looking fashion: they internalize the fact that, due to habits in banking (which are meant…