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Monday Lunch Seminars Gani Aldashev (University of Namur (FUNDP))

"Assignment procedure biases in randomized policy experiments" abstract Randomized controlled trials (RCT) have become a dominant empirical tool in applied economics. The internal validity of RCTs crucially depends on the (implicit) assumption that the procedure assigning subjects to treatment and control groups has no effect on behavior. We show theoretically that this assumption is violated…

Seminars in Statistics Nicola Sartori (University of Padova)

Calibrating hybrid pseudo likelihood ratios for a parameter of interest For inference about a parameter of interest in the presence of nuisance parameters, we consider a pseudo likelihood obtained from a genuine or composite likelihood by replacing the nuisance component with an estimate based on a generic estimating equation. Suitable adjustments are developed for the…

Seminars in Statistics Alessandra Luati (University of Bologna)

The generalised autocovariance function The generalised autocovariance  function is defined for a stationary stochastic process as the inverse Fourier transform of the power transformation of the spectral density function. Depending on the value of the transformation parameter, this function nests the inverse  and the traditional autocovariance functions. A frequency domain non-parametric estimator based on the…

Seminars in Politics and Society Martin Rhodes (University of Denver)

"Coordination, cooperation and conflict: Employment policy responses to the crisis – and why they differ" Abstract The aim of this paper is to use the employment-labor market policy responses to the crisis of the last several years in Italy and Spain to understand these two countries’ capacity for coordinated policy-making and policy innovation. It tries…

Gabriella Berloffa (University of Trento)

"Inequality of opportunity for young people in Italy: understanding the role of circumstances" Abstract In this paper we analyze the way in which changes in macro-economic circumstances and labour market institutions, that occurred in Italy over the ‘90s, affected the set of opportunities for young generations, amplify or shrinking existing inequalities. In particular we investigate whether…

Seminars in Economics Roberto Galbiati (CNRS and Sciences Po)

"Earthquakes, Religion, and Institutional Change: Evidence from a Historical Experiment" abstract For a panel of 70 Episcopal see cities (governed by a bishop) over 300 years in the medieval northerncentral Italy, we document that occurrence of an earthquake retarded transition from feudal regime to commune. This evidence is consistent with the idea that shocks heightening people’s religiosity,…

Monday Lunch Seminars Chiara Daniela Pronzato (University of Torino)

"Does Information Matter for Women Decisions? Experimental Evidence from Childcare" abstract Gender stereotypes are well eradicated also among women. Yet, a recent literature suggests that learning from other women experience about the effects of maternal employment on children outcomes may increase female labor force participation. In this paper, we design a survey experiment to provide…

Seminars in Statistics Ron S. Kenett (KPA Ltd., Israel)

Applications of Bayesian Networks to Operational Risks, Healthcare, Biotechnology and Customer Surveys Modelling cause and effect relationships has been a major challenge for statisticians in a wide range of application areas. Bayesian Networks combine graphical analysis with Bayesian analysis to represent descriptive causality maps linking measured and target variables. Such maps can be used for…

Seminars in Economics of Innovation and Knowledge Shiri Breznitz, Georgia Institute of Technology, School of Public Policy; Visiting Fellow, Collegio Carlo Alberto

"Hitting the Target: Analyzing Technology Commercialization Factors" abstract Local and national governments are putting universities under constant pressure to promote economic growth. Commercialization of technology has been identified as the main mechanism by which universities can do this. The literature on technology transfer by universities focuses on internal and external factors that can positively affect…

Seminars in Economics Karl Schlag (University of Vienna)

"Commitments, Intentions, Truth and Nash Equilibria" Abstract Games with multiple Nash equilibria are believed to be easier to play if players can communicate. We present a simple model of communication in games and investigate the importance of when communication takes place. Sending a message before play captures talk about intentions, after play captures talk about…

Monday Lunch Seminars Aleksey Tetenov (Collegio Carlo Alberto)

"Statistical hypothesis testing and private information" Abstract This paper provides a rationalization for using classical one-sided hypothesis tests for approving innovations (e.g., new pharmaceuticals, new government programs). I consider this problem of statistical decision making in a setting where proponents of innovations (i) stand to benefit from approval decisions even if their innovations have a negative effect, (ii) possess private…

Seminars in Statistics Botond Szabo (Eindhoven University of Technology)

On frequentist coverage of Bayesian credible sets Adaptive techniques for nonparametric estimation have been widely stud- ied in the literature and many rate-adaptive results have been provided for a variety of statistical problems. However an adaptive estimator without any knowledge of its uncertainty is rather uninformative, since one knows that the estimator is optimally close…

Seminars in Politics and Society Monica Ferrin Pereira (Collegio Carlo Alberto)

"Types of democrats in Europe. Hierarchy and differences" Abstract Democracy is one of the most problematic concepts in political science, as there is no agreement on how it should be defined and operationalised. Lack of consensus among the theorists has made it difficult to empirically undertake the study of democratic attitudes. In fact, although in the last years much…

Monday Lunch Seminars Giovanna Nicodano, Luca Regis (University of Torino)

"Firm combinations, insolvency and tax policy" abstract This paper examines endogenous default costs in parent subsidiary structures (PS), and their sensitivity to tax policy. We show that PS lead to inefficiently high default costs relative to conglomerates when interest is deductible from taxes, due to their higher leverage. The introduction of intercorporate dividend taxation is…