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Seminars in Politics and Society Stephen Morgan (Cornell University)

"Taking the Cloak Off the DAG:  The New Frontier of Causal Analysis in the Social Sciences" Abstract The counterfactual approach to causal analysis will continue to transform the social sciences in the next decade.  The potential outcome model, which was largely developed in statistics and economics between 1975 and 2005, has now been joined by…

Monday Lunch Seminars Andrea Vindigni

"Soldiers and Rebels. Coups and Civil Wars in Weakly-Institutionalized and Fragmented States" Abstract Many ethnically divided societies are ridden with inter-ethnic conflicts which inhibit their economic development. Following Lijphart, many scholars have advocated the adoption of "consensual" political institutions to facilitate the peaceful resolutions of ethnic conflicts. In this paper, we argue that making institutions…

CarloAlberto Outreach (past events) “2013: A FINANCIAL ODYSSEY”

At Scuola di Management ed Economia (room 9, third floor) What is a financial crisis? What is the relationship between finance and real economy? Are financial speculators the only to blame? What is the role of rating agencies?Assemblea di Economia is organizing a conference to discuss these themes with two guests who hold two very…

Monday Lunch Seminars Paolo Ghirardato

"Ambiguity in the small and in the large" Abstract This paper considers local and global multiple-prior representations of ambiguity for preferences that are (i) monotonic, (ii) Bernoullian, i.e. admit an affine utility representation when restricted to constant acts, and (iii) locally Lipschitz continuous. We do not require either Certainty Independence or Uncertainty Aversion. We show…

Seminars in Politics and Society Hugh Lauder (University of Bath)

"The Global Auction for High Skilled Jobs and the Death of Human Capital" abstract For decades, the idea that more education will lead to greater individual and national prosperity has been a cornerstone of developed economies. Indeed, it is almost universally believed that college diplomas give Americans and Europeans a competitive advantage in the global…

Monday Lunch Seminars Francesca Pongiglione

"Reciprocity or strategy? An analysis of motivation behind conditional cooperation" abstract The goal of this research is the understanding of the dynamics that lead to the rise of motivation to cooperate under limited information about what other people involved are doing. This research is a part of a broader project that analyses motivation for adopting pro-environmental behaviour: climate change is…

Seminars in Statistics Fan Li (Duke University)

Bayesian inference for regression discontinuity designs with application to Italian university grants evaluations Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are usually interpreted as local randomized experiments: A RD design can be considered as though it were a randomized experiment for units with a realized value of a so-called forcing variable falling immediately around a pre-fixed threshold. Motivated…