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Seminars in Economics Antoine Bommier (ETH Zurich)

"Household Finance and the Value of Life" Abstract We analyze life-cycle saving strategies with a recursive model that is designed to provide reasonable positive values for the value of a statistical life. With a positive value of life, risk aversion amplifies the impact of uncertain survival on the discount rate, and thus reduces savings. Our…

Seminars in Economics of Innovation and Knowledge Marcus Dejardin (Université de Namur)

"Fitting a firm’s strategic position and environmental context with its managers’ personality traits. A configurational study of SME performance" abstract Building upon the person–environment contingency model in combination with its strategy–environment counterpart, we adopt an integrated manager–strategy–environment configurational lens, and explore this perspective empirically by applying fuzzy set Qualitative Comparative Analysis to data from a sample…

Seminars in Economics Michael Haliassos (Goethe University Frankfurt)

"Financial Literacy Externalities" abstract This paper uses unique administrative data and a quasi-field experiment of exoge- nous allocation of refugees in Sweden to estimate effects of exposure to financially literate neighbors on household financial behavior. The paper contributes evidence of a causal impact of financial literacy on behavior and points to a social multiplier of…

Seminars in Statistics Tamara Broderick (MIT)

Fast Quantification of Uncertainty and Robustness with Variational Bayes In Bayesian analysis, the posterior follows from the data and a choice of a prior and a likelihood. These choices may be somewhat subjective and reasonably vary over some range. Thus, we wish to measure the sensitivity of posterior estimates to variation in these choices. While…

Seminars in Statistics Alejandro Jara (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile)

Bayesian nonparametric approaches for the analysis of compositional data based on Bernstein polynomials We will discuss Bayesian nonparametric procedures for density estimation and fully nonparametric regression for compositional data, that is, data supported in a multidimensional simplex. The procedures are based on modified classes of Bernstein polynomials. We show that the modified classes retain the…

Occasional Seminars Allievi Defense Session

JUNIOR ALLIEVI 10.00 Debora SesiaTitle: Hidden Markov models and their applications in biology 11.15 Tommaso PortaluriTitle: Channels of Knowledge Transfer at CERN: the case of the PACMAN Marie-Curie project SENIOR ALLIEVI 12.00 Marco MasoeroTitle: "Multi-population mean field games with local coupling"

Seminars in Economics Sonia Oreffice (University of Surrey)

"The Demand for Season of Birth" Abstract We study the determinants of season of birth, for white married women aged 20-45 in the US, using birth certificate and Census data. We also elicit the willingness to pay for season of birth through discrete choice experiments implemented on the Amazon Mechanical Turk platform. We document that the probability…

Seminars in Statistics Bruno Scarpa (University of Padua)

Bayesian modelling of networks in business intelligence problems Complex network data problems are increasingly common in many fields of application. Our motivation is drawn from strategic marketing studies monitoring customer choices of specific products, along with co-subscription networks encoding multiple purchasing behavior. Data are available for several agencies within the same insurance company, and our…