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“Minimax Regret Treatment Choice with Covariates and with Limited External Validity: Some Positive Results”

“Voters’ Response to Public Policies: Evidence from a Natural Experiment” abstract How do voters assess policy makers in the presence of incomplete information? We address this question by providing quasi-experimental…

Branching Brownian motion with absorption What does the genealogy of a population under selection look like? This question is crucial for ecology and evolutionary biology and yet it is not…

“Cooperation and conflict in social systems” Aula lignea Abstract Cooperation and conflict are classical topics in the social sciences. Key questions include how cooperation arises and how conflict is avoided. Drawing on theoretical…

“Beliefs, exams and social media: a study of girls and boys in the UK”

“Globalization, Exchange Rate Regimes and Financial Contagion” abstract The crisis of the Euro zone brought to the fore important questions including: what isthe proper level of financial integration and what…

NBEB-SSP Nonparametric Bayes and empirical Bayes for species sampling problems: classical questions, new directions and related issues The project deals with species sampling problems, a broad class of nonstandard inferential…

“The impact of financial education on financial literacy and saving behavior: Evidence from a controlled field experiment at Dutch primary schools“ Abstract This paper estimates the short term impact of…

“Measuring the Bias of Technological Change” Abstract When technological change occurs, it can increase the productivity of capital, labor,and the other factors of production in equal terms or it can…

“On the asymptotic behavior of the price of anarchy” abstract This paper examines the asymptotic behavior of the price of anarchy as a function of the total traffic inflow in…

“The Political Economy of Medicaid: Partisanship, Eligibility, and the Consequences of Cost-Saving Measures” Abstract: We explore the linkages between government ideology in U.S. states and geographic variation in Medicaid program…

“Financial Markets and Unemployment” abstract We study the importance of financial markets for (un)employment fluctuations in a model with matching frictions where firms issue debt under limited enforcement. Higher debt allows…

“At the Starting Line: Rural Poverty and Inequality among Hispanic Newborns” Abstract The recent movement of Hispanics into rural immigrant destinations has sometimes deflected attention from another major source of…

“The legacy of Europe: Studying post-URBAN area-based regeneration in two Italian cities” abstract Despite its largely institutionalist orientation, the literature on Europeanization so far has paid little attention to issues…

“A Test for Instrument Validity” Abstract This paper develops a specification test for instrument validity in the heterogeneous treatment effect model with a binary treatment and a discrete instrument. The…

Towards Uncertainty Quantification and Inference in the stochastic SIR Epidemic Model We introduce a novel method to conduct inference with models defined through a continuous-time Markov process, and we apply…

Diffusion trees as priors The Dirichlet diffusion tree [Neal, 2001] has attractive theoretical properties and empirical performance on various tasks. We present an extension which removes the restriction to binary…

Bayesian inference in two–piece and skew–symmetric distributions using Jeffreys priors We study the Jeffreys prior and the independence Jeffreys prior of general classes of univariate location–scale two–piece and skew–symmetric models.…